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commodity trading, futures trading, commodities guide, traders, advice, advisors commodity trading, futures trading, commodities guide, traders, advice, advisors commodity trading, futures trading, commodities guide, traders, advice, advisors
commodity trading, futures trading, commodities guide, traders, advice, advisors
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RECENT QUESTIONS AT CTCR Online - August, 1999
Hint: If you are looking for a specific piece of information, try the CTCR search engine located on the bottom of this page - it is very effective in finding you information on your favourite books, gurus and topics.

Van Tharp (Aug. 30, 1999)

"I am attempting to take my trading to the next level. I've been trading futures for about 18 months and have been fairly successful. I am looking for some direction at this point as far as money management and the psychology of trading. I've read reviews about Van Tharp and was curious what you thought of his work. Please be very objective. Any help would be appreciated." J.T.

>>> Van Tharp Answer...


And from the Current Issue: a Question on OptionVue 5 (Aug. 27, 1999)

"I am currently using the Option Oracle software by Deltasoft Financial Technologies for a 30 day trial period. This software was considered favorable by David Caplan in his book, The New Options Advantage.
However, I don't find it as user friendly as I anticipated...Also the documentation (bound book and on line user guide) leave something to be desired.
I'm wondering if: 1) there have been any reviews on this software and 2) are there any other option softwares out there that have good reviews that I should be considering.
Dave Caplan also wrote that Option Vue was excellent software but that it was less user friendly and was for the SERIOUS option strategist. (This info may be dated since the book was published quite a few years ago.)
Do you have any reviews that might evaluate Option Oracle or have a listing of top notch option softwares available in the industry? I started my 30 day trial on Aug 2nd.....I would like to consider other packages before locking in to Option Oracle.
I searched your web page thoroughly--I did not see any issues that contained the info I'm looking for.
Do you have any suggestions? Thank you for your help." J.S.

>>> Options Software Answer...


Courtney Smith on Relationships (Aug. 26, 1999)

"I am a financial stock trader currently researching the predictive properties of stock market indicators. At the moment I'm using simple linear regression in order to discover whether there is a relationship between an indicators value and a stocks price. However Simple Linear regression defines only a basic relationship not a causal relationship between the variables, therefore could you possibly recommend other statistical tests that do explain a causal relationship?

>>> Stock Market Indicators Answer...


Moving Averages in Stock Index Futures (Aug. 25, 1999)

"I have just discovered your website and I am sure you can help. I am looking for a trading system based on moving averages (or a moving average), which has been extensively backtested, and is as recent as possible. I want to apply such a system to stock index futures - position trading not day trading. The only data I have been able to get hold of is way out of date.

I see much mention of the 40/20 system. Am I right in thinking that this refers to moving averages of 40 days and 20 days?

I am sure you must have a wealth of information of the sort I am looking for. Is there a way of searching what you have? And can I have any information sent to me in the UK -after payment of course. I look forward to hearing from you." T.S.

>>> Moving Averages in Stock Index Futures Answer...


Grains, Fibers & Foods Fundamentals - Who's the Best Advisor? (Aug. 20, 1999)

"Hi there - I am an old subscriber/member of CTCR from many years ago, and I recently renewed membership this month.
I would like to get your opinion on trading advisors/newsletters for agricultural futures, primarily grains, but also meats, foods, fibers, etc.
Some background: I have been trading futures in 22 markets since 1987 very actively, and have been quite profitable. I developed my own system in 1989, custom-written in "C", historically tested on 35 markets over 20 years, and have been using it ever since, in all markets I trade (a single set of parameters for all markets). The system is bascially a breakout-oriented, long term trend following system. While this is basically a good system, it of course does poorly in trendless markets, and can generate pretty big drawdowns at times. I prefer to trade long term, large moves, holding positions for many weeks or even many months at a time, using only end of day data and signals.
I have been watching the last year's action in grains, fibers, and foods with some interest as prices hit historic lows, and am tempted to trade these markets with a different approach, both to take advantage of what I think is a major opportunity in these marets for next year, as well as to diversify my trading methodology and thereby hopefully reduce overall account drawdown. I am thinking that a fundamentals oriented approach to these markets would be a good approach and would counter some of the drawdowns I get in financial futures since the methodology would not be corellated with what I use in my system.
I would like to get input from, and most likely directly trade, the recommendations of a seasoned agricultural futures trading service that has a really good 5 year or more track record. From recent issues of CTCR, it looks to me like Bill Gary's CIS service might be the best performing agricultural market service, at least based on the results for 1998 and the last trailing 12 months.
1) I would be very interested to know your opinion on this however - is CIS the best choice for this set of markets?
2) Also, do you know if there is any information from independent sources such as CTCR on how he has performed over a much longer period, say 5 years?
3) Are there any advisory services that you think might be a better fit (or just as good as) for the trading style and objectives that I have here?
" J.M.

>>> Grains, Fibres, Foods Trading Advisors Answer...


If a guru's profits fall, does anyone hear? (Aug. 19, 1999)

" Enjoyed the interview w/ Bashar Azzouz. Interviews w/ professional traders (esp. those who have had exposure to the best traders) provide the best read." - R

Editor-in-Chief Courtney Smith: I'm glad you liked it. I agree with you about interviewing profitable traders. I would rather learn the same old lessons from someone who makes money than hear a brand new idea from someone who doesn't. Still, it is amazing how many people would rather read something from someone who can't trade.


The (non) Existence of Frank Thomas (Aug. 14, 1999)

"Does this exist: A commodities trading course by Frank Thomas? " - B.F.

Editor-in-Chief Courtney Smith: I've never heard of it.


Who is Mikey? (Aug. 9, 1999)

"Who is Mikey? Is he a guru? His website is commoditycentral.com. B.F"

Editor-in-Chief Courtney Smith: I have no idea who he is but let me check him out!


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